A Solid GDP Report

November 30, 2017
mm

The BEA released their latest estimate of 3Q GDP, which had a 2.3% Y/Y headline number percentage change.  The following table shows that gains were broad:
The pace of Y/Y growth is increasing: 
The following charts highlight several important aspects of the report:

Equipment investment (top chart) and, more specifically, industrial equipment investment (bottom chart) have increased for four and six quarters, respectively.
However, residential investment may be topping:
The top chart shows total residential investment while the bottom chart is residential construction.  Both have recently stalled.
            Consumers continue to spend at a consistent pace:

The top chart shows total PCEs, which have printed between 2.5%-3% for some time.  Durables goods spending (middle chart) ticked higher while non-durable goods spending (bottom chart) has improved solidly over the last few quarters.
There is very little to be concerned about in this report.

Article Categories:
Financial Economics Blogs

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *